### Analysis of Palos Verdes Peninsula Real Estate Data The provided data spans from January 2008 to July 2025, showing trends in absorption rate (months of unsold inventory) and median price per square foot. Absorption rates peaked around 13.2 months in late 2008 during the financial crisis and have generally trended downward with seasonal fluctuations, recently rising to 5.5 months in July 2025. Median prices bottomed at $351/sqft in December 2011 and have climbed to $848/sqft in July 2025, with accelerations during low-interest periods like 2020-2022. Using a SARIMAX(1,1,1)(1,1,1)[12] time series model to account for trends, seasonality, and autocorrelation, I've projected the next 12 months (August 2025 to July 2026). This captures recent upward momentum in inventory and price stabilization with seasonal dips in winter. #### Projected Values for Next 12 Months
Date Projected Absorption (Months) Projected Price ($/Sqft)
Aug-255.46844
Sep-255.33839
Oct-255.07833
Nov-254.83829
Dec-254.41816
Jan-264.11814
Feb-263.95822
Mar-264.08844
Apr-264.21848
May-264.41858
Jun-264.67864
Jul-264.85873
#### SVG Line Chart: Absorption Rate (Months of Inventory) Historical data in blue; projections in red (scaled from 0 to 14 months). #### SVG Line Chart: Median Price per Square Foot Historical data in blue; projections in red (scaled from $300 to $950/sqft). #### CSS Bar Chart: Projected Absorption Rates (Bars scaled to max projection value; green for visibility.)
5.46
5.33
5.07
4.83
4.41
4.11
3.95
4.08
4.21
4.41
4.67
4.85
Aug-25
Sep-25
Oct-25
Nov-25
Dec-25
Jan-26
Feb-26
Mar-26
Apr-26
May-26
Jun-26
Jul-26
#### CSS Bar Chart: Projected Median Prices per Sqft (Bars scaled to max projection value; orange for visibility.)
844
839
833
829
816
814
822
844
848
858
864
873
Aug-25
Sep-25
Oct-25
Nov-25
Dec-25
Jan-26
Feb-26
Mar-26
Apr-26
May-26
Jun-26
Jul-26